US UA SECURITY DIALOGUE VII
Taking New Measure of Russia”s “Near Abroad”:
Assessing Security Challenges Facing the “Frontline States”
February 25, 2015
Venue: 1777 F Street NW, Washington DC 20006 [1st Floor Conference Room]
8:30 am – 9:00 am – Registration
9:00 am – 9: 25 am – Word of Welcome:
- [US]: Rep. Sander Levin (D-MI)
- [UA]: HE Valeriy Chaly [Ambassador of Ukraine to the United States]
9:25 am – 9:55 am – The First Question: Which States Constitute RU”s “Near Aboard”? Should They Be Worried?
Chair:
- William Taylor [United States Institute of Peace]
Remarks:
- Stephen Blank [American Foreign Policy Council]
9:55 am – 11:15 am – Panel I [Extended Discussion] — The ‘Hybrid War in Ukraine’: Sampling of a ‘Frontline State’ Future?
Chair:
- John Herbst [Atlantic Council]
Lead Remarks:
- Andriy Parubiy [Vice Speaker of the Rada of Ukraine; Fmr. Head of the UA National Security & Defense Council]
Discussants:
- Glen Howard [Jamestown Foundation]
- Ariel Cohen [Atlantic Council; Institute for the Analysis of Global Security]
- Derek Fraser [University of Victoria]
11:15 am – 12:30 pm – Focus Session II: Assessing Threat Risks to the ‘Traditional Near Abroad’ [GUAM Members; the Baltic States; Central Asia & Belarus]
Chair:
- William Courtney [RAND Corporation]
Panelists:
- Temuri Yakobashvili [German Marshall Fund]
- Vlad Spanu [Moldova Foundation]
- Marius Laurinavicius [Center For European Policy Analysis]
- Paul Goble [Windows on Eurasia]
Suggested Topics:
- Moldova, Georgia & Azerbaijan: Will Frozen Conflicts Remain Frozen?
- The Baltic States: Any Grounds for Fearing a ‘Sudeten Russian’ Card?
- Central Asia & Belarus: Is Anyone Watching for ‘Bear-tracks’?
12:30 pm – 1:00 pm – Lunch Break [Press Interviews]
1:00 pm – 1:30 pm – Focus Session II: Might the United States Become a “Frontline State”?
Chair:
- Herman Pirchner [American Foreign Policy Council]
Presenter:
- Michael Carpenter [Dep. Asst. Secretary of Defense/EEA][INVITED]
1:30 pm – 2:00 pm – Focus Session III: Is Canada on the “Frontline” in the Arctic?
Chair:
- William Miller [Woodrow Wilson International Center]
Presenter:
- James Bezan [Member of Canadian Parliament/NDC]
2:00 pm – 3:15 pm – Focus Session IV: Assessing Risks to the ‘Recent Additional Near Abroad’ [Nordic Neutrals; Visegrad Countries; Black Sea Nations]
Chair:
- David Kramer [McCain Institute]
Panelists:
- Henryk Lax [MP Emeritus/Finnish Parliament-European Parliament]
- Margarita Assemova [Jamestown Foundation]
- Aurel Braun [University of Toronto]
- Hüseyin Oylupinar [Harvard University]
Suggested Topics:
- Scandinavian ‘Neutral States’ – An Umbrella Too Short?
- Do the Visegrad States Face a “Iskander Intimidation Factor” in Kaliningrad?
- Do the Black Sea Nations Face a “Iskander Intimidation Factor” in Crimea?
3:15 pm – 3:45 pm – Highlight IRU “Information Ops” in the Old & New “Near Abroard
Chair:
- Adrian Karmazyn [US-Ukraine Foundation; Former VOA UA Desk Chief]
Presenter:
- Ostap Kryvdyk [Senior Advisor to the UA Rada Vice Speaker; Former Information Officer of the UA Nat. Sec. & Defense Council]]
3:45 pm – 4:00 pm – A Final Word
- Sen. Robert Portman [R-OH] [Senate Ukraine Caucus Co-Chair]
5:00 pm – 7:30 pm – Evening Reception: American Foreign Policy Council
Host:
- The US-UA Security Dialogue VII Organizing Committee
Sponsors:
- American Foreign Policy Council
- Center for US-Ukrainian Relations
- Institute for Euro-Atlantic Cooperation
- US-Ukraine Foundation